<?php
$user_id = 60;
$query = "select
sum(user_id = ?) / count(*) as chance
from tickets;";
// get DB version using PDO
$stmt = $pdo->prepare($query);
$stmt->execute([$user_id]);
$row = $stmt->fetch(PDO::FETCH_ASSOC);
printf('Win chance for user %d is %s ' . PHP_EOL, $user_id, $row['chance']);